Langue:Français
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
Résultat du match
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prévision 22.02%4.54cote équitable
EV +3.51%
Avantage +0.747%
Kelly +0.949%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%22.06%22.00%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.214.204.7026.32%23.73%23.81%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)
Prévision 77.98%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -10.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%77.94%78.00%79.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.08%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local) : 22.02% ; Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur) : 77.98%. Pour Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.54. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.70, pour une espérance positive de +3.51%.
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +3.51%E +0.747%K +0.949%G +0.033% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.649%E +0.142%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -0.232%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.20%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-26 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-26 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.70%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.80%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.21%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.31%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-10-26 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-10-26 07:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |