Idioma:Español
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
Resultado del partido
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Predicción 22.02%4.54momio equitativo
EV +3.51%
Ventaja +0.747%
Kelly +0.949%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%22.06%22.00%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.214.204.7026.32%23.73%23.81%21.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 77.98%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -10.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.19%77.94%78.00%79.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.08%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local): 22.02%; Daniil Medvedev (Visitante): 77.98%. Para Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.54. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.51%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +3.51%E +0.747%K +0.949%G +0.033% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.649%E +0.142%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -0.232%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.20%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-26 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-26 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.70%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.80%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.21%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.31%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-10-26 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-10-26 07:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |