StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev

2026-10-27 12:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Wedstrijduitslag

53 wedaanbieders (16 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis)

Prognose 22.02%4.54margevrije odds
EV +3.51%
Voordeel +0.747%
Kelly +0.949%
Groei +0.033%

bij maximale odds 4.70

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
20.47%22.06%22.00%23.81%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.804.214.204.7026.32%23.73%23.81%21.28%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Daniil Medvedev (Uit)

Prognose 77.98%1.28margevrije odds
EV -2.53%
Voordeel -2.02%
Kelly -10.12%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.25

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
76.19%77.94%78.00%79.53%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.08%81.97%80.00%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis): 22.02%; Daniil Medvedev (Uit): 77.98%. Voor Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.54. 2 wedaanbieders bieden odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 4.70, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +3.51%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (53 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +3.51%E +0.747%K +0.949%G +0.033%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 05:31
DraftKings🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.649%E +0.142%K +0.182%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 05:46
Pinnacle🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -0.232%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-26 05:06
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 05:04
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:05
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.20%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:46
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 07:40
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:31
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:45
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 05:31
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 05:46
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:13
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:20
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 07:55
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 07:55
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:13
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.70%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:45
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.80%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 05:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:59
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:16
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 05:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 05:05
ReBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.21%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 05:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.31%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-10-26 05:05
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-10-26 05:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-10-26 07:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-10-26 07:31
ProphetX◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%4.5%2026-10-26 05:06