语言:简体中文
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
胜负盘
Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)
预测 22.02%4.54公平赔率
EV +3.51%
优势 +0.747%
Kelly +0.949%
增长率 +0.033%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
20.47%22.06%22.00%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.214.204.7026.32%23.73%23.81%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
Daniil Medvedev (客队)
预测 77.98%1.28公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -2.02%
Kelly -10.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.25
博彩公司预测分布
76.19%77.94%78.00%79.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.08%81.97%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)：22.02%；Daniil Medvedev (客队)：77.98%。 对于“Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.54。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.70，由此产生+3.51%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +3.51%E +0.747%K +0.949%G +0.033% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.649%E +0.142%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -0.232%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.20%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-26 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-26 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.70%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.80%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.21%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.31%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-10-26 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-10-26 07:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |