Language:English
Zachary Svajda v Daniel Altmaier
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Prediction 84.57%1.18fair odd
EV +40.39%
Edge +24.33%
Kelly +61.19%
Growth +24.71%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%82.14%95.00%99.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.301.301.66100.00%76.97%76.92%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visit)
Prediction 15.43%6.48fair odd
EV +1458.36%
Edge +14.44%
Kelly +14.58%
Growth +212.68%
assuming max odds 101.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.98%17.86%5.00%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.2314.403.30101.0044.84%6.94%30.30%0.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zachary Svajda (Local): 84.57%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 15.43%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.48. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 101.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1458.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.80%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 82.00I 1.22%NM 1.20%EV +1165.21%E +14.21%K +14.39%G +167.62% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +933.77%E +13.94%K +14.15%G +132.11% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%EV +748.61%E +13.61%K +13.86%G +103.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 32.02I 3.12%NM 3.06%EV +394.05%E +12.31%K +12.70%G +50.06% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +347.45%E +11.98%K +12.41%G +43.11% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +332.02%E +11.86%K +12.30%G +40.83% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +301.16%E +11.58%K +12.05%G +36.28% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +193.16%E +10.17%K +10.73%G +20.73% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +162.30%E +9.55%K +10.14%G +16.46% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -13.74%E -13.47%K -686.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +77.44%E +6.73%K +7.37%G +5.71% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -44.45%E -12.35%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +10.79%E +8.23%K +34.80%G +3.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +14.17%E +10.50%K +40.49%G +5.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +13.32%E +9.94%K +39.19%G +5.22% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV +5.71%E +4.57%K +22.85%G +1.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -51.40%E -16.32%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -52.32%E -16.93%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -52.79%E -17.25%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV +9.10%E +7.05%K +31.37%G +2.85% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -56.03%E -19.66%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +31.08%E +20.05%K +56.52%G +17.57% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -60.66%E -23.79%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +28.55%E +18.78%K +54.90%G +15.67% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -62.20%E -25.39%K -42.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV +32.78%E +20.88%K +57.50%G +18.85% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -63.12%E -26.41%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +36.16%E +22.46%K +59.28%G +21.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -63.74%E -27.12%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -64.36%E -27.86%K -49.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -64.67%E -28.24%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +39.54%E +23.96%K +60.83%G +24.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 05:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 05:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +40.39%E +24.33%K +61.19%G +24.71% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -65.59%E -29.41%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.90% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 17:16 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.44% | 38.02I 2.63%NM 2.56% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |