默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zachary Svajda v Daniel Altmaier

开赛时间: 2026-09-03 00:00 UTC

最终结果: Zachary Svajda 3–1 Daniel Altmaier

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zachary Svajda (主队)

预测 84.57%1.18公平赔率
EV +40.39%
优势 +24.33%
Kelly +61.19%
增长率 +24.71%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
57.33%82.14%95.00%99.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.301.301.66100.00%76.97%76.92%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Daniel Altmaier (客队)

预测 15.43%6.48公平赔率
EV +1458.36%
优势 +14.44%
Kelly +14.58%
增长率 +212.68%

假设最高赔率为 101.00

博彩公司预测分布
0.98%17.86%5.00%42.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.2314.403.30101.0044.84%6.94%30.30%0.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Zachary Svajda (主队):84.57%;Daniel Altmaier (客队):15.43%。 对于“Daniel Altmaier (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.48。 当时有19家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为101.00,对应+1458.36%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Sky Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68%1.0%2026-09-02 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68%1.0%2026-09-02 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.80%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%82.00I 1.22%NM 1.20%EV +1165.21%E +14.21%K +14.39%G +167.62%1.2%2026-09-02 21:18
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +933.77%E +13.94%K +14.15%G +132.11%1.5%2026-09-02 21:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%EV +748.61%E +13.61%K +13.86%G +103.78%1.8%2026-09-02 21:17
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92%2.4%2026-09-02 21:18
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92%2.4%2026-09-02 21:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92%2.4%2026-09-02 21:18
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63%2.0%2026-09-02 21:18
BoyleSports🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63%2.9%2026-09-02 21:18
Pinnacle🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000%32.02I 3.12%NM 3.06%EV +394.05%E +12.31%K +12.70%G +50.06%2.1%2026-09-02 21:30
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +347.45%E +11.98%K +12.41%G +43.11%3.4%2026-09-02 21:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +332.02%E +11.86%K +12.30%G +40.83%3.6%2026-09-02 21:17
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +301.16%E +11.58%K +12.05%G +36.28%2.9%2026-09-02 21:18
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09%4.8%2026-09-02 21:19
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09%4.8%2026-09-02 21:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +193.16%E +10.17%K +10.73%G +20.73%5.3%2026-09-02 21:18
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +162.30%E +9.55%K +10.14%G +16.46%5.9%2026-09-02 21:18
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -13.74%E -13.47%K -686.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +77.44%E +6.73%K +7.37%G +5.71%6.7%2026-09-02 21:19
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -44.45%E -12.35%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +10.79%E +8.23%K +34.80%G +3.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:10
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:12
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:12
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:12
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:12
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +14.17%E +10.50%K +40.49%G +5.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +13.32%E +9.94%K +39.19%G +5.22%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:11
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 17:12
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 17:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV +5.71%E +4.57%K +22.85%G +1.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -51.40%E -16.32%K -23.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -52.32%E -16.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -52.79%E -17.25%K -25.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV +9.10%E +7.05%K +31.37%G +2.85%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -56.03%E -19.66%K -30.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +31.08%E +20.05%K +56.52%G +17.57%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -60.66%E -23.79%K -39.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 17:10
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +28.55%E +18.78%K +54.90%G +15.67%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -62.20%E -25.39%K -42.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 17:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV +32.78%E +20.88%K +57.50%G +18.85%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -63.12%E -26.41%K -45.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +36.16%E +22.46%K +59.28%G +21.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -63.74%E -27.12%K -47.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:26
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -64.36%E -27.86%K -49.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:29
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -64.67%E -28.24%K -50.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +39.54%E +23.96%K +60.83%G +24.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 05:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 13:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 05:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 12:50
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +40.39%E +24.33%K +61.19%G +24.71%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -65.59%E -29.41%K -53.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.90%1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10%0.1%2026-09-02 21:20
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-02 17:16
Kalshi◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.0%2026-09-02 21:21
Smarkets◎1.00I 100.00%NM 97.44%38.02I 2.63%NM 2.56%2.6%2026-09-02 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%5.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%6.6%2026-09-02 17:15