Langue:Français
Zachary Svajda v Daniel Altmaier
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Prévision 84.57%1.18cote équitable
EV +40.39%
Avantage +24.33%
Kelly +61.19%
Croissance +24.71%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.33%82.14%95.00%99.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.301.301.66100.00%76.97%76.92%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.43%6.48cote équitable
EV +1458.36%
Avantage +14.44%
Kelly +14.58%
Croissance +212.68%
avec la cote maximale 101.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
0.98%17.86%5.00%42.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.2314.403.30101.0044.84%6.94%30.30%0.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zachary Svajda (Local) : 84.57% ; Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur) : 15.43%. Pour Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.48. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 101.00, soit une espérance positive de +1458.36%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.80%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 82.00I 1.22%NM 1.20%EV +1165.21%E +14.21%K +14.39%G +167.62% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +933.77%E +13.94%K +14.15%G +132.11% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%EV +748.61%E +13.61%K +13.86%G +103.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 32.02I 3.12%NM 3.06%EV +394.05%E +12.31%K +12.70%G +50.06% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +347.45%E +11.98%K +12.41%G +43.11% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +332.02%E +11.86%K +12.30%G +40.83% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +301.16%E +11.58%K +12.05%G +36.28% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +193.16%E +10.17%K +10.73%G +20.73% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +162.30%E +9.55%K +10.14%G +16.46% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -13.74%E -13.47%K -686.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +77.44%E +6.73%K +7.37%G +5.71% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -44.45%E -12.35%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +10.79%E +8.23%K +34.80%G +3.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +14.17%E +10.50%K +40.49%G +5.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +13.32%E +9.94%K +39.19%G +5.22% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV +5.71%E +4.57%K +22.85%G +1.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -51.40%E -16.32%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -52.32%E -16.93%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -52.79%E -17.25%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV +9.10%E +7.05%K +31.37%G +2.85% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -56.03%E -19.66%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +31.08%E +20.05%K +56.52%G +17.57% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -60.66%E -23.79%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +28.55%E +18.78%K +54.90%G +15.67% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -62.20%E -25.39%K -42.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV +32.78%E +20.88%K +57.50%G +18.85% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -63.12%E -26.41%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +36.16%E +22.46%K +59.28%G +21.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -63.74%E -27.12%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -64.36%E -27.86%K -49.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -64.67%E -28.24%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +39.54%E +23.96%K +60.83%G +24.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 05:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 05:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +40.39%E +24.33%K +61.19%G +24.71% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -65.59%E -29.41%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.90% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 17:16 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.44% | 38.02I 2.63%NM 2.56% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |