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Zachary Svajda v Daniel Altmaier
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Zachary Svajda (Хозяева)
Прогноз 84.57%1.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +40.39%
Преимущество +24.33%
Kelly +61.19%
Рост +24.71%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.66
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.33%82.14%95.00%99.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.001.301.301.66100.00%76.97%76.92%60.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Daniel Altmaier (Гости)
Прогноз 15.43%6.48справедливый коэффициент
EV +1458.36%
Преимущество +14.44%
Kelly +14.58%
Рост +212.68%
при максимальном коэффициенте 101.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
0.98%17.86%5.00%42.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.2314.403.30101.0044.84%6.94%30.30%0.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Zachary Svajda (Хозяева): 84.57%; Daniel Altmaier (Гости): 15.43%. Для исхода «Daniel Altmaier (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.48. 19 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 101.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1458.36%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.80%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 82.00I 1.22%NM 1.20%EV +1165.21%E +14.21%K +14.39%G +167.62% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +933.77%E +13.94%K +14.15%G +132.11% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%EV +748.61%E +13.61%K +13.86%G +103.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 32.02I 3.12%NM 3.06%EV +394.05%E +12.31%K +12.70%G +50.06% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +347.45%E +11.98%K +12.41%G +43.11% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +332.02%E +11.86%K +12.30%G +40.83% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +301.16%E +11.58%K +12.05%G +36.28% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +193.16%E +10.17%K +10.73%G +20.73% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +162.30%E +9.55%K +10.14%G +16.46% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -13.74%E -13.47%K -686.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +77.44%E +6.73%K +7.37%G +5.71% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -44.45%E -12.35%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +10.79%E +8.23%K +34.80%G +3.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +14.17%E +10.50%K +40.49%G +5.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +13.32%E +9.94%K +39.19%G +5.22% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV +5.71%E +4.57%K +22.85%G +1.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -51.40%E -16.32%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -52.32%E -16.93%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -52.79%E -17.25%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV +9.10%E +7.05%K +31.37%G +2.85% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -56.03%E -19.66%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +31.08%E +20.05%K +56.52%G +17.57% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -60.66%E -23.79%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +28.55%E +18.78%K +54.90%G +15.67% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -62.20%E -25.39%K -42.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV +32.78%E +20.88%K +57.50%G +18.85% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -63.12%E -26.41%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +36.16%E +22.46%K +59.28%G +21.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -63.74%E -27.12%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -64.36%E -27.86%K -49.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -64.67%E -28.24%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +39.54%E +23.96%K +60.83%G +24.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 05:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 05:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +40.39%E +24.33%K +61.19%G +24.71% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -65.59%E -29.41%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.90% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 17:16 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.44% | 38.02I 2.63%NM 2.56% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |