StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zachary Svajda v Daniel Altmaier

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 00:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Zachary Svajda 3–1 Daniel Altmaier

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zachary Svajda (Hemma)

Prognos 84.57%1.18rättvist odds
EV +40.39%
Fördel +24.33%
Kelly +61.19%
Tillväxt +24.71%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.33%82.14%95.00%99.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.301.301.66100.00%76.97%76.92%60.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Borta)

Prognos 15.43%6.48rättvist odds
EV +1458.36%
Fördel +14.44%
Kelly +14.58%
Tillväxt +212.68%

med antagandet om högsta odds 101.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
0.98%17.86%5.00%42.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.2314.403.30101.0044.84%6.94%30.30%0.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Zachary Svajda (Hemma): 84.57%; Daniel Altmaier (Borta): 15.43%. För Daniel Altmaier (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.48. 19 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 101.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1458.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68%1.0%2026-09-02 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68%1.0%2026-09-02 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.80%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%82.00I 1.22%NM 1.20%EV +1165.21%E +14.21%K +14.39%G +167.62%1.2%2026-09-02 21:18
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +933.77%E +13.94%K +14.15%G +132.11%1.5%2026-09-02 21:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%EV +748.61%E +13.61%K +13.86%G +103.78%1.8%2026-09-02 21:17
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92%2.4%2026-09-02 21:18
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92%2.4%2026-09-02 21:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92%2.4%2026-09-02 21:18
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63%2.0%2026-09-02 21:18
BoyleSports🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63%2.9%2026-09-02 21:18
Pinnacle🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000%32.02I 3.12%NM 3.06%EV +394.05%E +12.31%K +12.70%G +50.06%2.1%2026-09-02 21:30
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +347.45%E +11.98%K +12.41%G +43.11%3.4%2026-09-02 21:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +332.02%E +11.86%K +12.30%G +40.83%3.6%2026-09-02 21:17
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +301.16%E +11.58%K +12.05%G +36.28%2.9%2026-09-02 21:18
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09%4.8%2026-09-02 21:19
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09%4.8%2026-09-02 21:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +193.16%E +10.17%K +10.73%G +20.73%5.3%2026-09-02 21:18
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +162.30%E +9.55%K +10.14%G +16.46%5.9%2026-09-02 21:18
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -13.74%E -13.47%K -686.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +77.44%E +6.73%K +7.37%G +5.71%6.7%2026-09-02 21:19
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -44.45%E -12.35%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +10.79%E +8.23%K +34.80%G +3.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:10
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:12
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:12
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:12
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:12
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +14.17%E +10.50%K +40.49%G +5.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +13.32%E +9.94%K +39.19%G +5.22%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:11
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 17:12
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 17:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV +5.71%E +4.57%K +22.85%G +1.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -51.40%E -16.32%K -23.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -52.32%E -16.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -52.79%E -17.25%K -25.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV +9.10%E +7.05%K +31.37%G +2.85%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -56.03%E -19.66%K -30.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +31.08%E +20.05%K +56.52%G +17.57%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -60.66%E -23.79%K -39.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 17:10
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +28.55%E +18.78%K +54.90%G +15.67%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -62.20%E -25.39%K -42.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 17:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV +32.78%E +20.88%K +57.50%G +18.85%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -63.12%E -26.41%K -45.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +36.16%E +22.46%K +59.28%G +21.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -63.74%E -27.12%K -47.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:26
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -64.36%E -27.86%K -49.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:29
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -64.67%E -28.24%K -50.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +39.54%E +23.96%K +60.83%G +24.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 05:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 13:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 05:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 12:50
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +40.39%E +24.33%K +61.19%G +24.71%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -65.59%E -29.41%K -53.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.90%1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10%0.1%2026-09-02 21:20
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-02 17:16
Kalshi◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.0%2026-09-02 21:21
Smarkets◎1.00I 100.00%NM 97.44%38.02I 2.63%NM 2.56%2.6%2026-09-02 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%5.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%6.6%2026-09-02 17:15