Idioma:Español
Zachary Svajda v Daniel Altmaier
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Predicción 84.57%1.18momio equitativo
EV +40.39%
Ventaja +24.33%
Kelly +61.19%
Crecimiento +24.71%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.33%82.14%95.00%99.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.301.301.66100.00%76.97%76.92%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Predicción 15.43%6.48momio equitativo
EV +1458.36%
Ventaja +14.44%
Kelly +14.58%
Crecimiento +212.68%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 101.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
0.98%17.86%5.00%42.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.2314.403.30101.0044.84%6.94%30.30%0.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zachary Svajda (Local): 84.57%; Daniel Altmaier (Visitante): 15.43%. Para Daniel Altmaier (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.48. 19 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 101.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1458.36%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +1458.36%E +14.44%K +14.58%G +212.68% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.80%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 82.00I 1.22%NM 1.20%EV +1165.21%E +14.21%K +14.39%G +167.62% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +933.77%E +13.94%K +14.15%G +132.11% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%EV +748.61%E +13.61%K +13.86%G +103.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +532.60%E +12.99%K +13.32%G +70.92% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +424.60%E +12.49%K +12.87%G +54.63% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 32.02I 3.12%NM 3.06%EV +394.05%E +12.31%K +12.70%G +50.06% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +347.45%E +11.98%K +12.41%G +43.11% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +332.02%E +11.86%K +12.30%G +40.83% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 21:17 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -14.58%E -14.44%K -1458.36%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +301.16%E +11.58%K +12.05%G +36.28% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +224.02%E +10.67%K +11.20%G +25.09% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +193.16%E +10.17%K +10.73%G +20.73% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -15.43%E -15.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +162.30%E +9.55%K +10.14%G +16.46% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -13.74%E -13.47%K -686.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +77.44%E +6.73%K +7.37%G +5.71% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -44.45%E -12.35%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +10.79%E +8.23%K +34.80%G +3.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -47.54%E -13.98%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -48.31%E -14.42%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -49.08%E -14.87%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +14.17%E +10.50%K +40.49%G +5.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +13.32%E +9.94%K +39.19%G +5.22% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:12 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV +8.25%E +6.45%K +29.47%G +2.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -49.85%E -15.34%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV +9.94%E +7.65%K +33.14%G +3.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -50.63%E -15.82%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV +5.71%E +4.57%K +22.85%G +1.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -51.40%E -16.32%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV +11.63%E +8.81%K +36.35%G +4.23% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -52.32%E -16.93%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV +12.48%E +9.38%K +37.82%G +4.72% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -52.79%E -17.25%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV +9.10%E +7.05%K +31.37%G +2.85% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -56.03%E -19.66%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +31.08%E +20.05%K +56.52%G +17.57% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -60.66%E -23.79%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +28.55%E +18.78%K +54.90%G +15.67% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -62.20%E -25.39%K -42.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV +32.78%E +20.88%K +57.50%G +18.85% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -63.12%E -26.41%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -63.43%E -26.76%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +36.16%E +22.46%K +59.28%G +21.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -63.74%E -27.12%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -64.36%E -27.86%K -49.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +35.31%E +22.07%K +58.86%G +20.78% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -64.51%E -28.05%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -64.67%E -28.24%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +39.54%E +23.96%K +60.83%G +24.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 05:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +38.70%E +23.60%K +60.46%G +23.40% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +37.85%E +23.22%K +60.08%G +22.74% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 05:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +37.00%E +22.84%K +59.68%G +22.09% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -65.28%E -29.02%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +40.39%E +24.33%K +61.19%G +24.71% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -65.59%E -29.41%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.90% | 1000.00I 0.10%NM 0.10% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 17:16 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 21:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.44% | 38.02I 2.63%NM 2.56% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |