Language:English
Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prediction 54.28%1.84fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.25%54.33%54.35%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.751.751.8158.48%57.12%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)
Prediction 45.72%2.19fair odd
EV -0.784%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.670%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%45.67%45.65%47.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.072.072.1750.76%48.21%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valentin Vacherot (Local): 54.28%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 45.72%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -0.784%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.76%E -0.970%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.53%E -1.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 05:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.784%E -0.361%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.64%E -3.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |