Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak

Inizio: 2026-09-02 23:21 UTC

Finale: Valentin Vacherot 3–1 Kamil Majchrzak

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Valentin Vacherot (Casa)

Previsione 54.28%1.84quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -0.970%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.25%54.33%54.35%55.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.751.751.8158.48%57.12%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.72%2.19quota equa
EV -0.784%
Vantaggio -0.361%
Kelly -0.670%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.22%45.67%45.65%47.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.072.072.1750.76%48.21%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Valentin Vacherot (Casa): 54.28%; Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta): 45.72%. Per Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.19. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.17, con un valore atteso del -0.784%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.76%E -0.970%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:31
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:31
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:36
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:14
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 07:45
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 22:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 22:15
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.53%E -1.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:35
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 21:36
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:31
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 05:26
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:25
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 18:24
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:23
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:50
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 19:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 21:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.784%E -0.361%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:10
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.64%E -3.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 07:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-09-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-09-02 22:15
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-02 22:05
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-09-02 23:00
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-09-02 22:55