语言:简体中文
Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Valentin Vacherot (主队)
预测 54.28%1.84公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.970%
Kelly -2.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.81
博彩公司预测分布
52.25%54.33%54.35%55.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.751.751.8158.48%57.12%57.14%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Kamil Majchrzak (客队)
预测 45.72%2.19公平赔率
EV -0.784%
优势 -0.361%
Kelly -0.670%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.17
博彩公司预测分布
44.22%45.67%45.65%47.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.072.072.1750.76%48.21%48.31%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Valentin Vacherot (主队)：54.28%；Kamil Majchrzak (客队)：45.72%。 对于“Kamil Majchrzak (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.17，期望值为-0.784%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.76%E -0.970%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.53%E -1.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 05:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.784%E -0.361%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.64%E -3.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |