Язык:Русский
Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Valentin Vacherot (Хозяева)
Прогноз 54.28%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.76%
Преимущество -0.970%
Kelly -2.17%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.81
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.25%54.33%54.35%55.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.711.751.751.8158.48%57.12%57.14%55.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Kamil Majchrzak (Гости)
Прогноз 45.72%2.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.784%
Преимущество -0.361%
Kelly -0.670%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.22%45.67%45.65%47.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.972.072.072.1750.76%48.21%48.31%46.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Valentin Vacherot (Хозяева): 54.28%; Kamil Majchrzak (Гости): 45.72%. Для исхода «Kamil Majchrzak (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.19. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.17, математическое ожидание — -0.784%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.76%E -0.970%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.53%E -1.67%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 05:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.784%E -0.361%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.64%E -3.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |