StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Valentin Vacherot v Kamil Majchrzak

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 23:21 UTC

Endstand: Valentin Vacherot 3–1 Kamil Majchrzak

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Valentin Vacherot (Heim)

Prognose 54.28%1.84faire Quote
EV -1.76%
Vorteil -0.970%
Kelly -2.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.25%54.33%54.35%55.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.711.751.751.8158.48%57.12%57.14%55.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Auswärts)

Prognose 45.72%2.19faire Quote
EV -0.784%
Vorteil -0.361%
Kelly -0.670%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.22%45.67%45.65%47.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.972.072.072.1750.76%48.21%48.31%46.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Valentin Vacherot (Heim): 54.28%; Kamil Majchrzak (Auswärts): 45.72%. Für Kamil Majchrzak (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.19. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.17, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.784%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.76%E -0.970%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:31
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:31
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:36
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:14
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 07:45
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 22:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 22:15
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.53%E -1.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.47%E -2.54%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:35
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 21:36
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:31
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.56%E -3.19%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 05:26
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:25
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 18:24
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.07%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:23
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:50
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 19:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.98%E -1.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:35
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.81%E -2.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 21:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.784%E -0.361%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.70%E -0.790%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:10
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.64%E -3.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 07:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-09-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-09-02 22:15
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-02 22:05
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-09-02 23:00
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-09-02 22:55