預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci

開賽時間: 2026-09-03 18:05 UTC

最終賽果: Taylor Fritz 3–0 Mattia Bellucci

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Taylor Fritz (主隊)

預測 85.56%1.17公平賠率
EV -1.60%
優勢 -1.39%
Kelly -10.69%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.15

博彩公司預測分布
82.83%85.63%85.30%87.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.38%90.91%86.96%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Mattia Bellucci (客隊)

預測 14.44%6.93公平賠率
EV +9.73%
優勢 +1.28%
Kelly +1.47%
成長率 +0.143%

假設最高賠率為 7.60

博彩公司預測分布
12.64%14.37%14.70%17.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.506.756.757.6018.18%14.82%14.81%13.16%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Taylor Fritz (主隊):85.56%;Mattia Bellucci (客隊):14.44%。 對於「Mattia Bellucci (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.93的公平十進位賠率。 當時有30家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.60,對應+9.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143%4.1%2026-09-02 11:26
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143%4.1%2026-09-02 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:29
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073%3.6%2026-09-03 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073%5.3%2026-09-03 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +3.96%E +0.549%K +0.638%G +0.025%6.5%2026-09-03 07:35
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 86.09%EV -1.60%E -1.39%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.91%EV +2.80%E +0.393%K +0.458%G +0.013%1.0%2026-09-02 14:45
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-03 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-03 07:10
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-03 07:10
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 18:00
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 18:00
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-02 13:46
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.45%E -7.90%K -120.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%7.7%2026-09-02 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV -0.664%E -0.097%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 17:10
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:10
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:10
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -3.99%E -0.599%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -4.71%E -0.713%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:50
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:54
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -6.73%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 17:53
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -9.04%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.48%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:55
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -12.65%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 17:30
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:55
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:55
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:33
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -13.95%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.98%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 16:00
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-03 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-03 17:41
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-03 17:50
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-03 17:50