Idioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 85.56%1.17momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -10.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.83%85.63%85.30%87.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.38%90.91%86.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)
Predicción 14.44%6.93momio equitativo
EV +9.73%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.143%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.64%14.37%14.70%17.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.756.757.6018.18%14.82%14.81%13.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Taylor Fritz (Local): 85.56%; Mattia Bellucci (Visitante): 14.44%. Para Mattia Bellucci (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.93. 30 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.73%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +3.96%E +0.549%K +0.638%G +0.025% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.09%EV -1.60%E -1.39%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.91%EV +2.80%E +0.393%K +0.458%G +0.013% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 13:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.45%E -7.90%K -120.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV -0.664%E -0.097%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -3.99%E -0.599%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -4.71%E -0.713%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -6.73%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -9.04%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.48%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -12.65%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -13.95%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.98%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |