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Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Taylor Fritz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 85.56%1.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.60%
Преимущество -1.39%
Kelly -10.69%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
82.83%85.63%85.30%87.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.38%90.91%86.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Mattia Bellucci (Гости)
Прогноз 14.44%6.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.73%
Преимущество +1.28%
Kelly +1.47%
Рост +0.143%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.64%14.37%14.70%17.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.756.757.6018.18%14.82%14.81%13.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Taylor Fritz (Хозяева): 85.56%; Mattia Bellucci (Гости): 14.44%. Для исхода «Mattia Bellucci (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.93. 30 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.60, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +9.73%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +3.96%E +0.549%K +0.638%G +0.025% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.09%EV -1.60%E -1.39%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.91%EV +2.80%E +0.393%K +0.458%G +0.013% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 13:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.45%E -7.90%K -120.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV -0.664%E -0.097%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -3.99%E -0.599%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -4.71%E -0.713%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -6.73%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -9.04%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.48%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -12.65%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -13.95%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.98%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |