StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 18:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Taylor Fritz 3–0 Mattia Bellucci

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Taylor Fritz (Hemma)

Prognos 85.56%1.17rättvist odds
EV -1.60%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -10.69%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.83%85.63%85.30%87.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.38%90.91%86.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Mattia Bellucci (Borta)

Prognos 14.44%6.93rättvist odds
EV +9.73%
Fördel +1.28%
Kelly +1.47%
Tillväxt +0.143%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.64%14.37%14.70%17.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.756.757.6018.18%14.82%14.81%13.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Taylor Fritz (Hemma): 85.56%; Mattia Bellucci (Borta): 14.44%. För Mattia Bellucci (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.93. 30 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.73%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143%4.1%2026-09-02 11:26
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143%4.1%2026-09-02 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:29
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073%3.6%2026-09-03 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073%5.3%2026-09-03 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +3.96%E +0.549%K +0.638%G +0.025%6.5%2026-09-03 07:35
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 86.09%EV -1.60%E -1.39%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.91%EV +2.80%E +0.393%K +0.458%G +0.013%1.0%2026-09-02 14:45
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-03 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-03 07:10
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-03 07:10
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 18:00
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-03 18:00
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%6.9%2026-09-02 13:46
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.45%E -7.90%K -120.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002%7.7%2026-09-02 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV -0.664%E -0.097%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 17:10
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:10
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:10
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -3.99%E -0.599%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -4.71%E -0.713%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:50
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:54
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -6.73%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 17:53
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -9.04%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.48%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:55
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -12.65%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 17:30
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:55
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:55
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:33
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -13.95%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.98%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 16:00
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-03 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-03 17:41
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-03 17:50
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-03 17:50