语言:简体中文
Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Taylor Fritz (主队)
预测 85.56%1.17公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -1.39%
Kelly -10.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.15
博彩公司预测分布
82.83%85.63%85.30%87.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.38%90.91%86.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
Mattia Bellucci (客队)
预测 14.44%6.93公平赔率
EV +9.73%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.47%
增长率 +0.143%
假设最高赔率为 7.60
博彩公司预测分布
12.64%14.37%14.70%17.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.756.757.6018.18%14.82%14.81%13.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Taylor Fritz (主队)：85.56%；Mattia Bellucci (客队)：14.44%。 对于“Mattia Bellucci (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.93。 当时有30家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.60，对应+9.73%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +3.96%E +0.549%K +0.638%G +0.025% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.09%EV -1.60%E -1.39%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.91%EV +2.80%E +0.393%K +0.458%G +0.013% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 13:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.45%E -7.90%K -120.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV -0.664%E -0.097%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -3.99%E -0.599%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -4.71%E -0.713%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -6.73%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -9.04%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.48%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -12.65%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -13.95%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.98%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |