Język:Polski
Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Taylor Fritz (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 85.56%1.17kurs godziwy
EV -1.60%
Przewaga -1.39%
Kelly -10.69%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
82.83%85.63%85.30%87.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.38%90.91%86.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Mattia Bellucci (Goście)
Prognoza 14.44%6.93kurs godziwy
EV +9.73%
Przewaga +1.28%
Kelly +1.47%
Wzrost +0.143%
przy maksymalnym kursie 7.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
12.64%14.37%14.70%17.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.506.756.757.6018.18%14.82%14.81%13.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Taylor Fritz (Gospodarze): 85.56%; Mattia Bellucci (Goście): 14.44%. Dla wyniku Mattia Bellucci (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.93. 30 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 7.60, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +9.73%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +9.73%E +1.28%K +1.47%G +0.143% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +6.84%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.073% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +3.96%E +0.549%K +0.638%G +0.025% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.09%EV -1.60%E -1.39%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.91%EV +2.80%E +0.393%K +0.458%G +0.013% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 13:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.45%E -7.90%K -120.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV -0.664%E -0.097%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.86%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -3.99%E -0.599%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -4.71%E -0.713%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -6.73%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.82%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -9.04%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.76%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.48%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -12.65%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -13.95%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.98%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.46%E -2.16%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.32%E -2.93%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.59%E -3.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |