语言:简体中文
Rei Sakamoto v Frances Tiafoe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Rei Sakamoto (主队)
预测 23.37%4.28公平赔率
EV +4.22%
优势 +0.946%
Kelly +1.22%
增长率 +0.051%
假设最高赔率为 4.46
博彩公司预测分布
21.77%23.32%23.36%25.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.034.004.4626.67%24.80%25.00%22.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frances Tiafoe (客队)
预测 76.63%1.30公平赔率
EV -3.44%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -13.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.26
博彩公司预测分布
74.85%76.68%76.64%78.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.65%80.65%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rei Sakamoto (主队)：23.37%；Frances Tiafoe (客队)：76.63%。 对于“Rei Sakamoto (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.28。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.46，对应+4.22%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.89%EV +4.22%E +0.946%K +1.22%G +0.051% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.11%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.273%K +0.355%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -0.453%E -0.106%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.686%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 22:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.28%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.03%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |