StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rei Sakamoto v Frances Tiafoe

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 23:04 UTC

Slutresultat: Rei Sakamoto 0–3 Frances Tiafoe

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rei Sakamoto (Hemma)

Prognos 23.37%4.28rättvist odds
EV +4.22%
Fördel +0.946%
Kelly +1.22%
Tillväxt +0.051%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.77%23.32%23.36%25.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.034.004.4626.67%24.80%25.00%22.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Borta)

Prognos 76.63%1.30rättvist odds
EV -3.44%
Fördel -2.73%
Kelly -13.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.85%76.68%76.64%78.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.65%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rei Sakamoto (Hemma): 23.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Borta): 76.63%. För Rei Sakamoto (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.28. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.46, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.22%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.89%EV +4.22%E +0.946%K +1.22%G +0.051%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.11%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 22:30
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.273%K +0.355%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 09:00
GTbets🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -0.453%E -0.106%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 13:26
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.686%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:55
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:00
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:30
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:53
BetUS🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 22:55
NordicBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Betsson🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 22:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:55
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:35
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:55
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 22:56
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:00
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:54
Fliff🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.28%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.03%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:33
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
ProphetX◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-09-02 23:00
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-09-02 23:00