Langue:Français
Rei Sakamoto v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rei Sakamoto (Local)
Prévision 23.37%4.28cote équitable
EV +4.22%
Avantage +0.946%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.051%
avec la cote maximale 4.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.77%23.32%23.36%25.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.034.004.4626.67%24.80%25.00%22.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.63%1.30cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -13.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.85%76.68%76.64%78.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.65%80.65%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rei Sakamoto (Local) : 23.37% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 76.63%. Pour Rei Sakamoto (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.28. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.46, soit une espérance positive de +4.22%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.89%EV +4.22%E +0.946%K +1.22%G +0.051% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.11%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.273%K +0.355%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -0.453%E -0.106%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.686%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 22:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.28%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.03%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |