Idioma:Español
Rei Sakamoto v Frances Tiafoe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rei Sakamoto (Local)
Predicción 23.37%4.28momio equitativo
EV +4.22%
Ventaja +0.946%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.77%23.32%23.36%25.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.034.004.4626.67%24.80%25.00%22.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 76.63%1.30momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -13.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.85%76.68%76.64%78.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.65%80.65%79.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rei Sakamoto (Local): 23.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 76.63%. Para Rei Sakamoto (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.28. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.46, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.22%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.89%EV +4.22%E +0.946%K +1.22%G +0.051% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.11%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.273%K +0.355%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -0.453%E -0.106%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.686%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 22:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.28%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.03%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |