Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rei Sakamoto v Frances Tiafoe

Inizio: 2026-09-02 23:04 UTC

Finale: Rei Sakamoto 0–3 Frances Tiafoe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rei Sakamoto (Casa)

Previsione 23.37%4.28quota equa
EV +4.22%
Vantaggio +0.946%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.051%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.77%23.32%23.36%25.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.034.004.4626.67%24.80%25.00%22.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.63%1.30quota equa
EV -3.44%
Vantaggio -2.73%
Kelly -13.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.85%76.68%76.64%78.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.65%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rei Sakamoto (Casa): 23.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta): 76.63%. Per Rei Sakamoto (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.28. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.46, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.22%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.89%EV +4.22%E +0.946%K +1.22%G +0.051%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.11%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 22:30
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.273%K +0.355%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 09:00
GTbets🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -0.453%E -0.106%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 13:26
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.686%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:55
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:00
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:30
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:53
BetUS🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 22:55
NordicBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Betsson🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 22:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:55
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:35
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:55
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 22:56
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:00
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:54
Fliff🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.28%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.03%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:33
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
ProphetX◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-09-02 23:00
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-09-02 23:00