StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rei Sakamoto v Frances Tiafoe

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 23:04 UTC

Endstand: Rei Sakamoto 0–3 Frances Tiafoe

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rei Sakamoto (Heim)

Prognose 23.37%4.28faire Quote
EV +4.22%
Vorteil +0.946%
Kelly +1.22%
Wachstum +0.051%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.77%23.32%23.36%25.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.034.004.4626.67%24.80%25.00%22.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts)

Prognose 76.63%1.30faire Quote
EV -3.44%
Vorteil -2.73%
Kelly -13.24%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.85%76.68%76.64%78.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.65%80.65%79.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rei Sakamoto (Heim): 23.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts): 76.63%. Für Rei Sakamoto (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.28. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.46 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.22%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.89%EV +4.22%E +0.946%K +1.22%G +0.051%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.11%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.29%E +0.743%K +0.961%G +0.032%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 22:30
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.273%K +0.355%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 09:00
GTbets🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -0.453%E -0.106%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 13:26
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.686%E -0.161%K -0.211%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:55
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:00
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:30
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.85%E -0.442%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:53
BetUS🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.02%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 22:55
NordicBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Betsson🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 22:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 22:30
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:55
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:35
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:55
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 22:56
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:00
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:54
Fliff🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.28%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.03%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:33
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 22:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
ProphetX◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-02 23:00
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-09-02 23:00
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-09-02 23:00