預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Martin Damm Jr. v Frances Tiafoe

開賽時間: 2026-09-01 00:56 UTC

最終賽果: Martin Damm Jr. 2–3 Frances Tiafoe

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Martin Damm Jr. (主隊)

預測 23.37%4.28公平賠率
EV +5.18%
優勢 +1.15%
Kelly +1.48%
成長率 +0.077%

假設最高賠率為 4.50

博彩公司預測分布
21.38%23.33%23.37%24.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.684.074.004.5027.17%24.56%25.00%22.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Frances Tiafoe (客隊)

預測 76.63%1.31公平賠率
EV -3.45%
優勢 -2.74%
Kelly -13.28%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.26

博彩公司預測分布
75.25%76.67%76.63%78.62%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.94%80.65%79.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Martin Damm Jr. (主隊):23.37%;Frances Tiafoe (客隊):76.63%。 對於「Martin Damm Jr. (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.28的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.50,對應+5.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.18%E +1.15%K +1.48%G +0.077%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 00:43
BetOnline.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
SportsBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +3.78%E +0.852%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 00:45
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.85%E +0.647%K +0.837%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:30
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:29
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:44
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:30
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.659%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 00:49
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 00:35
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:45
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:29
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.00%E -0.722%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 00:55
GTbets🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.70%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:54
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.27%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 00:50
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:55
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:45
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:10
Fliff🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:53
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:40
DraftKings🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -9.31%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:50
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:45
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:45
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:45
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:45
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:39
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:26
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.98%E -3.80%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 00:54
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-09-01 00:55
ProphetX◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-09-01 00:55
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%2.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-09-01 00:55