Język:Polski
Martin Damm Jr. v Frances Tiafoe
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Martin Damm Jr. (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 23.37%4.28kurs godziwy
EV +5.18%
Przewaga +1.15%
Kelly +1.48%
Wzrost +0.077%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.38%23.33%23.37%24.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.684.074.004.5027.17%24.56%25.00%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Frances Tiafoe (Goście)
Prognoza 76.63%1.31kurs godziwy
EV -3.45%
Przewaga -2.74%
Kelly -13.28%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.26
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.25%76.67%76.63%78.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.94%80.65%79.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Martin Damm Jr. (Gospodarze): 23.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Goście): 76.63%. Dla wyniku Martin Damm Jr. (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.28. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.18%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.18%E +1.15%K +1.48%G +0.077% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 00:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +3.78%E +0.852%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.85%E +0.647%K +0.837%G +0.024% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.659%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 00:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.00%E -0.722%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.70%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 09:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.27%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -9.31%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.98%E -3.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |