StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Martin Damm Jr. v Frances Tiafoe

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 00:56 UTC

Slutresultat: Martin Damm Jr. 2–3 Frances Tiafoe

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Martin Damm Jr. (Hemma)

Prognos 23.37%4.28rättvist odds
EV +5.18%
Fördel +1.15%
Kelly +1.48%
Tillväxt +0.077%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.38%23.33%23.37%24.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.684.074.004.5027.17%24.56%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Borta)

Prognos 76.63%1.31rättvist odds
EV -3.45%
Fördel -2.74%
Kelly -13.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.25%76.67%76.63%78.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.94%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Martin Damm Jr. (Hemma): 23.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Borta): 76.63%. För Martin Damm Jr. (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.28. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.18%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.18%E +1.15%K +1.48%G +0.077%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 00:43
BetOnline.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
SportsBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +3.78%E +0.852%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 00:45
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.85%E +0.647%K +0.837%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:30
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:29
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:44
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:30
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.659%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 00:49
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 00:35
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:45
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:29
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.00%E -0.722%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 00:55
GTbets🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.70%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:54
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.27%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 00:50
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:55
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:45
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:10
Fliff🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:53
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:40
DraftKings🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -9.31%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:50
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:45
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:45
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:45
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:45
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:39
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:26
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.98%E -3.80%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 00:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-09-01 00:55
ProphetX◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-09-01 00:55
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%2.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-09-01 00:55