Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Martin Damm Jr. v Frances Tiafoe

Inizio: 2026-09-01 00:56 UTC

Finale: Martin Damm Jr. 2–3 Frances Tiafoe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Martin Damm Jr. (Casa)

Previsione 23.37%4.28quota equa
EV +5.18%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescita +0.077%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.38%23.33%23.37%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.684.074.004.5027.17%24.56%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.63%1.31quota equa
EV -3.45%
Vantaggio -2.74%
Kelly -13.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%76.67%76.63%78.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.94%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Martin Damm Jr. (Casa): 23.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta): 76.63%. Per Martin Damm Jr. (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.28. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.18%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.18%E +1.15%K +1.48%G +0.077%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 00:43
BetOnline.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
SportsBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +3.78%E +0.852%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 00:45
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.85%E +0.647%K +0.837%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:30
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:29
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:44
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:30
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.659%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 00:49
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 00:35
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:45
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:30
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:29
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.00%E -0.722%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 00:55
GTbets🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.70%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:54
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.27%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 00:50
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:55
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:45
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:10
Fliff🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:53
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:40
DraftKings🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -9.31%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:50
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:45
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:45
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:45
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:45
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:39
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:26
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.98%E -3.80%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 00:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-09-01 00:55
ProphetX◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-09-01 00:55
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%2.6%2026-09-01 00:55
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-09-01 00:55