Langue:Français
Martin Damm Jr. v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Prévision 23.37%4.28cote équitable
EV +5.18%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.077%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%23.33%23.37%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.684.074.004.5027.17%24.56%25.00%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.63%1.31cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -13.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%76.67%76.63%78.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.94%80.65%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Damm Jr. (Local) : 23.37% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 76.63%. Pour Martin Damm Jr. (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.28. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +5.18%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.18%E +1.15%K +1.48%G +0.077% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 00:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +3.78%E +0.852%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.85%E +0.647%K +0.837%G +0.024% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.659%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 00:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.00%E -0.722%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.70%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 09:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.27%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -9.31%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.98%E -3.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |