语言:简体中文
Martin Damm Jr. v Frances Tiafoe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Martin Damm Jr. (主队)
预测 23.37%4.28公平赔率
EV +5.18%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.48%
增长率 +0.077%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
21.38%23.33%23.37%24.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.684.074.004.5027.17%24.56%25.00%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frances Tiafoe (客队)
预测 76.63%1.31公平赔率
EV -3.45%
优势 -2.74%
Kelly -13.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.26
博彩公司预测分布
75.25%76.67%76.63%78.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.94%80.65%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Martin Damm Jr. (主队)：23.37%；Frances Tiafoe (客队)：76.63%。 对于“Martin Damm Jr. (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.28。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.50，对应+5.18%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.18%E +1.15%K +1.48%G +0.077% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 00:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +4.02%E +0.902%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +3.78%E +0.852%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.85%E +0.647%K +0.837%G +0.024% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.21%E +0.280%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.659%E -0.155%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 00:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.83%E -0.435%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.00%E -0.722%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.70%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 09:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.27%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.68%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.52%E -5.34%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -9.31%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 00:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.98%E -3.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -7.28%E -6.02%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |