Language:English
Luciano Darderi v Harry Wendelken
Head to Head
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prediction 71.02%1.41fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -9.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.44%70.88%71.20%73.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.96%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harry Wendelken (Visit)
Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd
EV +4.89%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.091%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%29.12%28.80%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.263.6233.33%30.79%30.67%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Luciano Darderi (Local): 71.02%; Harry Wendelken (Visit): 28.98%. For Harry Wendelken (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.62, producing a positive expected value of +4.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%EV +4.89%E +1.35%K +1.87%G +0.091% | 1.7% | 2026-08-28 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.80%E -7.72%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +1.42%E +0.405%K +0.567%G +0.008% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -3.22%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -5.25%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 23:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 22:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.96%E -5.31%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.98%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.02%EV -7.86%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -10.46%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.34%EV -8.38%E -6.50%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 29.66%EV -11.33%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.38%E -6.50%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 22:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.38%E -6.50%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.09%E -7.10%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.02% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 74.63% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 25.37% | 31.4% | 2026-08-29 01:10 |