Sprache:Deutsch
Luciano Darderi v Harry Wendelken
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Luciano Darderi (Heim)
Prognose 73.26%1.37faire Quote
EV -0.368%
Vorteil -0.270%
Kelly -1.02%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.51%73.17%73.34%75.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.271.301.301.3678.74%76.68%76.92%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Harry Wendelken (Auswärts)
Prognose 26.74%3.74faire Quote
EV +4.29%
Vorteil +1.10%
Kelly +1.48%
Wachstum +0.063%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.66%26.83%26.66%30.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.493.503.9032.26%28.67%28.57%25.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luciano Darderi (Heim): 73.26%; Harry Wendelken (Auswärts): 26.74%. Für Harry Wendelken (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.74. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.29%.
Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.29%E +1.10%K +1.48%G +0.063% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +3.75%E +0.968%K +1.30%G +0.049% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.16%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV +0.546%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.40%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.94%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 17:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.368%E -0.270%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |