语言:简体中文
Luciano Darderi v Harry Wendelken
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Luciano Darderi (主队)
预测 73.26%1.37公平赔率
EV -0.368%
优势 -0.270%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
69.51%73.17%73.34%75.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.301.301.3678.74%76.68%76.92%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
Harry Wendelken (客队)
预测 26.74%3.74公平赔率
EV +4.29%
优势 +1.10%
Kelly +1.48%
增长率 +0.063%
假设最高赔率为 3.90
博彩公司预测分布
24.66%26.83%26.66%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.493.503.9032.26%28.67%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Luciano Darderi (主队)：73.26%；Harry Wendelken (客队)：26.74%。 对于“Harry Wendelken (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.74。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.90，对应+4.29%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.29%E +1.10%K +1.48%G +0.063% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +3.75%E +0.968%K +1.30%G +0.049% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.16%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV +0.546%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.40%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.94%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 17:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.368%E -0.270%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |