Langue:Français
Luciano Darderi v Harry Wendelken
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prévision 73.26%1.37cote équitable
EV -0.368%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.51%73.17%73.34%75.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.301.301.3678.74%76.68%76.92%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Harry Wendelken (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.74%3.74cote équitable
EV +4.29%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%26.83%26.66%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.9032.26%28.67%28.57%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luciano Darderi (Local) : 73.26% ; Harry Wendelken (Visiteur) : 26.74%. Pour Harry Wendelken (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.74. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +4.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.29%E +1.10%K +1.48%G +0.063% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +3.75%E +0.968%K +1.30%G +0.049% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.16%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV +0.546%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.40%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.94%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 17:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 06:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 06:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.368%E -0.270%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |