StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luciano Darderi v Harry Wendelken

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 19:16 UTC

Slutresultat: Luciano Darderi 3–1 Harry Wendelken

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luciano Darderi (Hemma)

Prognos 73.26%1.37rättvist odds
EV -0.368%
Fördel -0.270%
Kelly -1.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.51%73.17%73.34%75.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.271.301.301.3678.74%76.68%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Harry Wendelken (Borta)

Prognos 26.74%3.74rättvist odds
EV +4.29%
Fördel +1.10%
Kelly +1.48%
Tillväxt +0.063%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.66%26.83%26.66%30.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.493.503.9032.26%28.67%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Luciano Darderi (Hemma): 73.26%; Harry Wendelken (Borta): 26.74%. För Harry Wendelken (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.74. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.29%E +1.10%K +1.48%G +0.063%3.8%2026-08-31 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +3.75%E +0.968%K +1.30%G +0.049%4.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%4.1%2026-08-31 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.16%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV +0.546%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-31 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 17:55
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.40%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 17:40
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 17:41
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:45
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:39
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:41
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 15:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.94%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:40
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 07:45
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:45
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:45
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:45
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:21
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:24
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 06:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.368%E -0.270%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-31 19:05
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 19:05
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 17:20
ProphetX◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 19:05
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-31 19:05