預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luciano Darderi v Harry Wendelken

開賽時間: 2026-08-31 19:16 UTC

最終賽果: Luciano Darderi 3–1 Harry Wendelken

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

61 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luciano Darderi (主隊)

預測 73.26%1.37公平賠率
EV -0.368%
優勢 -0.270%
Kelly -1.02%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.36

博彩公司預測分布
69.51%73.17%73.34%75.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.271.301.301.3678.74%76.68%76.92%73.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Harry Wendelken (客隊)

預測 26.74%3.74公平賠率
EV +4.29%
優勢 +1.10%
Kelly +1.48%
成長率 +0.063%

假設最高賠率為 3.90

博彩公司預測分布
24.66%26.83%26.66%30.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.493.503.9032.26%28.67%28.57%25.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Luciano Darderi (主隊):73.26%;Harry Wendelken (客隊):26.74%。 對於「Harry Wendelken (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.74的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.90,對應+4.29%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (61 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.29%E +1.10%K +1.48%G +0.063%3.8%2026-08-31 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +3.75%E +0.968%K +1.30%G +0.049%4.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%4.1%2026-08-31 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.16%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV +0.546%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-31 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.80%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.33%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 17:55
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.40%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 17:40
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 17:41
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:45
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:39
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:41
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 15:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 10:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.94%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:40
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 07:45
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:45
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:45
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:45
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:21
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:25
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 06:24
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 06:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.368%E -0.270%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-31 19:05
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 19:05
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 17:20
ProphetX◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 19:05
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-31 19:05