Language:English
Daniil Medvedev v Arthur Rinderknech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prediction 71.78%1.39fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.77%71.73%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.41%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visit)
Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.444%
Kelly +0.614%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%28.23%28.27%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.81%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 71.78%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 28.22%. For Arthur Rinderknech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.41%E -5.74%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV +0.186%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.79%E -0.514%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 07:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 06:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 03:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 07:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.43%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.91%EV -7.72%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.38%E -1.75%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 13:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |