Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 70.67%1.42kurs godziwy
EV -2.48%
Przewaga -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.81%70.59%70.72%72.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.341.351.3877.52%74.70%74.07%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arthur Rinderknech (Goście)

Prognoza 29.33%3.41kurs godziwy
EV -0.262%
Przewaga -0.077%
Kelly -0.109%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.51%29.41%29.28%31.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.203.253.4033.90%31.28%30.77%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze): 70.67%; Arthur Rinderknech (Goście): 29.33%. Dla wyniku Arthur Rinderknech (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.41. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 3.40, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.262%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:56
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.736%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 22:54
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -4.08%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 00:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 20:56
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 00:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:20
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:26
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:30
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 20:56
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 03:25
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 02:29
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:25
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:20
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 03:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 02:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 22:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 02:55
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 22:55
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -2.02%E -0.605%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:20
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:19
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-03 03:36
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-03 03:50
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-03 05:15
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-09-03 05:00