Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 70.67%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.59%70.72%72.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.341.351.3877.52%74.70%74.07%72.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.33%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.262%
Avantage -0.077%
Kelly -0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%29.41%29.28%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.203.253.4033.90%31.28%30.77%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 70.67% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 29.33%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.41. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.40, pour une espérance de -0.262% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:56
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.736%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 22:54
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -4.08%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 00:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 20:56
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 00:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:20
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:26
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:30
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 20:56
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 03:25
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 02:29
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:25
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:20
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 03:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 02:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 22:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 02:55
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 22:55
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -2.02%E -0.605%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:20
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:19
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-03 03:36
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-03 03:50
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-03 05:15
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-09-03 05:00