Langue:Français
Daniil Medvedev v Arthur Rinderknech
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prévision 71.78%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -6.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%71.77%71.73%73.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.41%75.19%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.22%3.54cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.444%
Kelly +0.614%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%28.23%28.27%30.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.81%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 71.78% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 28.22%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.60%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.41%E -5.74%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV +0.186%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.79%E -0.514%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 07:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 06:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 03:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 07:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.43%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.91%EV -7.72%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.38%E -1.75%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 07:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 13:28 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |