StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniil Medvedev v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniil Medvedev (Heim)

Prognose 70.67%1.42faire Quote
EV -2.48%
Vorteil -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.81%70.59%70.72%72.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.291.341.351.3877.52%74.70%74.07%72.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.33%3.41faire Quote
EV -0.262%
Vorteil -0.077%
Kelly -0.109%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.51%29.41%29.28%31.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.953.203.253.4033.90%31.28%30.77%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Daniil Medvedev (Heim): 70.67%; Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts): 29.33%. Für Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.41. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.40, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.262%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:56
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.736%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 22:54
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -4.08%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 00:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 20:56
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 00:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:20
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:26
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:30
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 20:56
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 03:25
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 02:29
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:25
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:20
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 03:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 02:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 22:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 02:55
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 22:55
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -2.02%E -0.605%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.20%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:20
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 21:19
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -0.262%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-02 23:00
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-03 03:36
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-03 03:50
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-03 05:15
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-09-03 05:00