StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniil Medvedev v Arthur Rinderknech

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-04 16:10 UTC

Endstand: Daniil Medvedev 3–0 Arthur Rinderknech

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniil Medvedev (Heim)

Prognose 71.78%1.39faire Quote
EV -2.38%
Vorteil -1.75%
Kelly -6.61%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.98%71.77%71.73%73.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.41%75.19%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.22%3.54faire Quote
EV +1.60%
Vorteil +0.444%
Kelly +0.614%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.38%28.23%28.27%30.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.81%29.85%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Daniil Medvedev (Heim): 71.78%; Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts): 28.22%. Für Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.54. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.60%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.41%E -5.74%K -25.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010%5.3%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007%3.6%2026-09-04 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007%3.6%2026-09-04 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV +0.186%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.79%E -0.514%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:55
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 07:49
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 06:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:04
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 07:50
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:24
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 07:53
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 07:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:34
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:45
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:45
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.43%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.91%EV -7.72%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.38%E -1.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 21:10
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:31
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 07:50
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 01:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:50
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:50
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 13:28
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-04 03:50
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-09-04 14:10