Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daniil Medvedev v Arthur Rinderknech

Inizio: 2026-09-04 16:10 UTC

Finale: Daniil Medvedev 3–0 Arthur Rinderknech

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daniil Medvedev (Casa)

Previsione 71.78%1.39quota equa
EV -2.38%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -6.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%71.77%71.73%73.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.41%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.22%3.54quota equa
EV +1.60%
Vantaggio +0.444%
Kelly +0.614%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.38%28.23%28.27%30.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.81%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Daniil Medvedev (Casa): 71.78%; Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta): 28.22%. Per Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.54. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.60%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.41%E -5.74%K -25.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.60%E +0.444%K +0.614%G +0.010%5.3%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007%3.6%2026-09-04 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +1.31%E +0.366%K +0.508%G +0.007%3.6%2026-09-04 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV +0.186%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.23%E -0.350%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.79%E -0.514%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.64%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:55
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 07:49
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 06:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:04
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 07:50
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:24
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.82%E -2.85%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 07:53
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:04
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 07:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:34
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:35
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.97%E -4.56%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:45
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.25%E -3.98%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:45
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.43%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.91%EV -7.72%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.38%E -1.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 21:10
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:31
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 07:50
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 01:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.69%E -5.14%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:50
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.10%E -2.30%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:50
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.53%E -3.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 13:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-04 03:50
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-09-04 14:10