默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 19:36 UTC

最终结果: Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0–3 Jan-Lennard Struff

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (主队)

预测 35.28%2.83公平赔率
EV +4.44%
优势 +1.50%
Kelly +2.26%
增长率 +0.101%

假设最高赔率为 2.96

博彩公司预测分布
32.87%35.14%35.29%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.742.752.9639.22%36.55%36.43%33.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jan-Lennard Struff (客队)

预测 64.72%1.55公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -4.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
62.96%64.86%64.71%67.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.88%68.97%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Camilo Ugo Carabelli (主队):35.28%;Jan-Lennard Struff (客队):64.72%。 对于“Camilo Ugo Carabelli (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.83。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.96,对应+4.44%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +4.44%E +1.50%K +2.26%G +0.101%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-01 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +2.32%E +0.800%K +1.22%G +0.028%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.557%E +0.196%K +0.301%G +0.002%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 19:35
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +0.204%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 13:30
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 19:35
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 19:35
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -10.69%E -7.75%K -28.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 19:35
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:30
DraftKings🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 19:35
BetUS🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 19:35
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:15
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 11:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 19:35
Betsson🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 19:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 19:35
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 13:39
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 13:33
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.21%E -2.74%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:24
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 19:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 19:25
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 12:25
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 19:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-09-01 19:35
Novig◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-09-01 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-09-01 19:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-09-01 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-09-01 19:25
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-01 19:30
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-09-01 19:35
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-09-01 19:35