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Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)
Прогноз 35.28%2.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.44%
Преимущество +1.50%
Kelly +2.26%
Рост +0.101%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.96
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.87%35.14%35.29%37.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.552.742.752.9639.22%36.55%36.43%33.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Гости)
Прогноз 64.72%1.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.28%
Преимущество -1.51%
Kelly -4.47%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
62.96%64.86%64.71%67.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.88%68.97%66.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева): 35.28%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Гости): 64.72%. Для исхода «Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.83. 17 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.96, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.44%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +4.44%E +1.50%K +2.26%G +0.101% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +2.32%E +0.800%K +1.22%G +0.028% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.557%E +0.196%K +0.301%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +0.204%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -10.69%E -7.75%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 13:33 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.21%E -2.74%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |