StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 19:36 UTC

Slutresultat: Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0–3 Jan-Lennard Struff

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma)

Prognos 35.28%2.83rättvist odds
EV +4.44%
Fördel +1.50%
Kelly +2.26%
Tillväxt +0.101%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.87%35.14%35.29%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.742.752.9639.22%36.55%36.43%33.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Borta)

Prognos 64.72%1.55rättvist odds
EV -2.28%
Fördel -1.51%
Kelly -4.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.96%64.86%64.71%67.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.88%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma): 35.28%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Borta): 64.72%. För Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.83. 17 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.96, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.44%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +4.44%E +1.50%K +2.26%G +0.101%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-01 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +2.32%E +0.800%K +1.22%G +0.028%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.557%E +0.196%K +0.301%G +0.002%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 19:35
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +0.204%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 13:30
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 19:35
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 19:35
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -10.69%E -7.75%K -28.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 19:35
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:30
DraftKings🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 19:35
BetUS🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 19:35
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:15
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 11:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 19:35
Betsson🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 19:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 19:35
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 13:39
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 13:33
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.21%E -2.74%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 19:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:24
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 12:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 19:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 19:25
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 12:25
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 19:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-09-01 19:35
Novig◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-09-01 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-09-01 19:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-09-01 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-09-01 19:25
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-01 19:30
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-09-01 19:35
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-09-01 19:35