Język:Polski
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 35.28%2.83kurs godziwy
EV +4.44%
Przewaga +1.50%
Kelly +2.26%
Wzrost +0.101%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.96
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.87%35.14%35.29%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.742.752.9639.22%36.55%36.43%33.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Goście)
Prognoza 64.72%1.55kurs godziwy
EV -2.28%
Przewaga -1.51%
Kelly -4.47%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.51
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.96%64.86%64.71%67.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.88%68.97%66.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze): 35.28%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Goście): 64.72%. Dla wyniku Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.83. 17 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.96, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.44%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +4.44%E +1.50%K +2.26%G +0.101% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +2.32%E +0.800%K +1.22%G +0.028% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.557%E +0.196%K +0.301%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +0.204%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -10.69%E -7.75%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 13:33 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.21%E -2.74%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |