Lingua:Italiano
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa)
Previsione 35.28%2.83quota equa
EV +4.44%
Vantaggio +1.50%
Kelly +2.26%
Crescita +0.101%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.96
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.87%35.14%35.29%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.742.752.9639.22%36.55%36.43%33.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta)
Previsione 64.72%1.55quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -4.47%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.96%64.86%64.71%67.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.88%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa): 35.28%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta): 64.72%. Per Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.83. 17 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.96, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.44%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +4.44%E +1.50%K +2.26%G +0.101% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +2.32%E +0.800%K +1.22%G +0.028% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.557%E +0.196%K +0.301%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +0.204%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -10.69%E -7.75%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 13:33 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.21%E -2.74%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |