Langue:Français
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Prévision 35.28%2.83cote équitable
EV +4.44%
Avantage +1.50%
Kelly +2.26%
Croissance +0.101%
avec la cote maximale 2.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.87%35.14%35.29%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.742.752.9639.22%36.55%36.43%33.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)
Prévision 64.72%1.55cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -4.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%64.86%64.71%67.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.88%68.97%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local) : 35.28% ; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur) : 64.72%. Pour Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.83. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.96, soit une espérance positive de +4.44%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +4.44%E +1.50%K +2.26%G +0.101% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +2.32%E +0.800%K +1.22%G +0.028% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +1.62%E +0.561%K +0.859%G +0.014% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.557%E +0.196%K +0.301%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +0.204%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -1.21%E -0.431%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -10.69%E -7.75%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.62%E -0.949%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.15%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 13:33 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.21%E -2.74%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |